Italian-Bet

PSG vs Aston Villa

All eyes will be on Red Bull Arena (Salzburg) when PSG and Aston Villa lock horns in the UEFA Super Cup. As Villa have some injury problems ahead of Wednesday's showdown, we predict a 2-1 home win. The Champions League winners failed to record a win during preseason, but Luis Enrique is expected to give more minutes to key players, with Vitinha, Joao Neves, Nuno Mendes and Marquinhos all likely to feature more prominently. PSG have won four of their last 10 matches, scoring 1.70 goals per game, while BTTS landed in 60% of those fixtures. Their recent games have averaged 3.10 goals.

Aston Villa, meanwhile, have enjoyed a much stronger run, winning seven of their last 10 matches. The Villans have been particularly prolific, averaging 2.80 goals per game, while all 10 of their recent matches have seen them find the net. However, they suffered a 2-1 defeat to Bayern Munich in their final warm-up game. Amadou Onana, Leon Bailey and summer signing Johan Manzambi are injured, while Emiliano Martinez, Ezri Konsa and Ollie Watkins are doubtful.

Given the huge gap in quality between the two sides and Villa's selection worries, Home Win should be considered, alongside BTTS and Over 2.5 goals (both previous H2H meetings produced at least four goals).