Italian-Bet

Almeria vs Castelon

A place in the Segunda Division playoffs final will be at stake when Almeria and Castellon face each other in the return leg of their semi-final tie. The first meeting ended in a 1-1 draw, leaving everything to play for ahead of this decisive clash. Almeria will be without midfielder Andre Horta, but the hosts can draw confidence from their impressive home form. They have won four of their last five matches on home soil, averaging 2.2 goals per game, while their matches have been highly entertaining, producing an average of 3.6 goals overall. However, defensive issues remain a concern, with Almeria conceding 1.8 goals per match across their last ten outings.

Castellon, meanwhile, travel without international-duty duo Cipenga and Awer Mabil. Despite those absences, the visitors arrive in good spirits after a strong run of results. Castellon are unbeaten in their last four away matches and have scored in each of their previous ten games. They average 1.8 goals per match and boast an impressive expected goals figure of 2.01, highlighting their attacking threat. At the same time, their defence has struggled to keep opponents at bay, managing just one clean sheet in their last ten outings.

The hosts have won four of their last five home matches and given Castellon's important absentees, Home Win should be considered, alongside Both Teams to Score and, Over 2.5 goals (Both teams are involved in high-scoring games on a regular basis, with their matches averaging