Italian-Bet

B. Munich vs PSG

Bayern München lost the first match in Paris (5:4), but the tie is still fully open, and this is exactly the kind of night where they are very dangerous. They have won all six home matches in the Champions League this season, and in their last 29 home games in this competition, they have only one defeat.

The 3:3 against Heidenheim means very little, as they had already won the Bundesliga and rotated heavily with this semi-final in mind.

Bayern München should have midfielder Tom Bischof (35/2/3) and attacking midfielder Lennart Karl (35/9/7) available again, while left-back Raphael Guerreiro (27/6/3) and attacking midfielder Serge Gnabry (37/10/11) remain out.

Paris Saint-Germain won the first match, but a one-goal lead in Munich is never comfortable. They were brilliant at times in Paris, but they also gave away too much and allowed Bayern to score four times. In the league, they drew with Lorient (2:2) after making many changes, so the full focus is clearly on this second leg.

Paris Saint-Germain will miss right-back Achraf Hakimi.I am not going to mess with goals here, as the odds are ridiculous.

Bayern München are very strong at home; they know they need to attack, and PSG did not look solid enough in the first match to make me trust them here.