League : FRANCE league ![]()
MATCH : Lens – Toulouse
TYPE : 1
ODD : 1.60
STAKE : 9/10
FT : 3 : 2 – WIN
Sassuolo and Como square off against each other in a Serie A game with both sides targeting a response after frustrating defeats. As the Neroverdi head into Friday's clash with a severely-weakened squad, we predict a 2-0 away win. Sassuolo come into the game after a 2-1 loss to Genoa, with their recent form showing solid mid-table consistency at 1.60 points per game. The hosts average 1.50 goals scored and conceded per match, highlighting their open style, with a high 70% BTTS rate. However, they will be significantly weakened by the suspensions of Domenico Berardi and Josh Doig, two key creative and defensive outlets.
Como, on the other hand, head into the match in strong form despite a narrow 4-3 loss to Inter, with their overall run producing 1.80 points per game. The visitors are well-organised defensively, conceding just 1.00 goal per match overall and only 0.50 away from home, while also scoring 1.90 goals per game. Managed by Cesc Fabregas, they show excellent balance and structure, with a 40% clean sheet rate and a strong 50% away win rate. Their xG (1.48) and especially xGA (0.86) underline a disciplined and efficient side capable of controlling games. The fact that Fabregas has a full squad to choose from definitely supports our betting angle.
Given Como's stronger defensive structure and better recent form, our prediction firmly points toward Away Win, alongside Como to Win to Nil and Under 3.5 goals (Como’s defensive control and Sassuolo’s key absences should limit the scoring).
Date 17.04.2026
Pick : 2 – lose
Odd : 1.65
Stake : 9/10
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