League : FRANCE league
MATCH : Marseille – Metz
TYPE : 1 & Over 2.5 goals
ODD : 1.65
STAKE : 9/10
FT : 2 : 1 – WIN
Real Madrid vs Girona
The opening match of La Liga round 31 sees Real Madrid host Girona as los Blancos aim to close the gap on Barcelona at the top. As Girona have some selection worries, we predict a 3-1 home win. Real Madrid are coming off a 2-1 loss to Mallorca, with injuries sidelining key players Courtois, Mendy, and Rodrygo, while winger Franco Mastantuono is banned. Despite these setbacks, Alvaro Arbeloa's men remain strong at home, averaging 3.4 goals per game and winning 80% of their last five home fixtures.
Girona, meanwhile, are carrying minor knocks to Vanat and Blind after a 1-0 victory over Villarreal, with their away form a concern, winning just 0.6 points per away game in recent matches. Head-to-head history favors Real Madrid, who have claimed 62% of their 13 previous meetings.
Given Real Madrid's H2H edge and need for points, Home Win is our main betting tip for this La Liga matchup, alongside BTTS and Over 2.5 goals (77% of H2H matches went over this line).
Date 10.04.2026
Pick : 1 & Over 2.5 goals
Odd : 1.65 – lose
Stake : 9/10
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