Italian-Bet

Following a heavy 4-1 defeat to Elversberg, Mainz will be desperate to put an end to their three-game losing streak in all competitions. Their home form makes for worrying reading, with no wins in their last four matches and an average of 2.50 goals conceded per game. Die Nullfunfer also face selection problems, as Stefan Posch and Phillipp Mwene are both suspended for Saturday’s encounter. Mainz have managed to score 1.50 goals per home game, but containing Bayern’s formidable attack will be a much tougher challenge.

Bayern Munich, meanwhile, are determined to return to winning ways after being held to a 2-2 draw by Borussia Dortmund. Vincent Kompany’s men responded with a convincing 2-0 Champions League victory over Atletico Madrid and have averaged 2.40 goals per away game. Michael Olise has recovered from a minor injury, while Diaz, Gnabry and Saibari remain sidelined. Lennart Karl is therefore expected to retain his place in the starting XI. Bayern have also won 27 of their 38 previous meetings with Mainz.

Given Bayern’s superior quality despite aforementioned injury worries, Away Win should be considered, alongside Harry Kane to Score and Over 2.5 goals (89% of the last 38 H2H meetings producing over 2.5 goals).